Kenny Pickett TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 14

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

TD Passes

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-210).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 8th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 59.9% red zone pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in football against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year (75.4%).
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box against opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 123.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends grade out as the 9th-best group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing game stats across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-quickest in football since the start of last season.