Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 2, 2023 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
The projections expect the Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
While Kenny Pickett has been responsible for 7.6% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Pittsburgh's ground game this week at 12.9%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league last year in run support.
The Tennessee defensive ends rank as the 5th-worst collection of DEs in football this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

Kenny Pickett has averaged a measly 1.7 rush attempts per game this year, one of the lowest rates in the league when it comes to QBs (17th percentile).
Kenny Pickett has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (4.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).
Kenny Pickett's 2.57 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a noteable decrease in his running proficiency over last season's 4.40 figure.

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