Kenny Pickett Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 200.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 194.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 200.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Steelers to call the 7th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in the league versus the Cardinals defense this year (74.2% Adjusted Completion%).
The Cardinals pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, conceding 8.02 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-most in football.
The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks rank as the worst collection of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal approach.
The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The Steelers have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being projected in this game) usually cause decreased passing effectiveness, reduced pass volume, and higher run volume.
In this week's contest, Kenny Pickett is expected by the projection model to average the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 32.7.

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