Kenny Pickett Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kenny Pickett

NFL · Player Props

Kenny Pickett

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 212.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 224.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Kenny Pickett has been among the least effective quarterbacks in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 6.70 yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 23rd percentile.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has shown strong efficiency since the start of last season, giving up 7.36 yards-per-target: the 9th-least in football.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.87 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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