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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Kenny Pickett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 195.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 199.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 195.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
  • Opposing teams have passed for the 6th-least yards in the NFL (just 216.0 per game) versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 7th-lowest rate in the NFL vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year (67.6%).

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