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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Kenny Pickett Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 222.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 209.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 222.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.79 yards-after-the-catch this year: the most in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 61.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: least in football.

Opposing QBs have passed for the 5th-least yards in football (just 189.0 per game) vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year.

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, giving up 7.24 yards-per-target: the 7th-least in the league.

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