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Kenny Pickett

Kenny Pickett Interceptions
Player Prop Week 18

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Kenny Pickett Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+123/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -159 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Cleveland Browns have intercepted 0.60 targets per game this year, grading out as the 8th-worst defense in the league by this stat

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 4th-least in the league.

The Cleveland Browns cornerbacks project as the 6th-best group of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

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