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Kenny Pickett Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-150).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks rank as the 8th-worst collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Atlanta Falcons have intercepted 0.86 targets per game this year, ranking as the 8th-best defense in the NFL by this metric.The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line has afforded their QB a mere 2.19 seconds before the pass (worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.The Atlanta Falcons defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.43 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season.The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
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