Kenny Golladay Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Kenny Golladay

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs New York Giants · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 12:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenny Golladay Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
Kenny Golladay's 50.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 81st percentile for WRs.
The Tennessee Titans defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 4th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.
The New York Giants have incorporated play action on 28.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 10th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.9 plays per game.
The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Kenny Golladay has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, catching just 50.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 3rd percentile among wideouts
The Tennessee Titans safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.