Kenneth Walker III Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Kenneth Walker III

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Rushing TD

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+440/-1010).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -962 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1010.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.34 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-most touchdowns in football (1.30 per game) versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.
The Detroit Lions defensive ends profile as the worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone up against a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Seattle Seahawks have gone no-huddle on 15.5% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Seattle Seahawks have elected to go for it on 4th down a measly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their plays since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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