Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-109/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
In this contest, Kenneth Walker III is projected by the projection model to slot into the 93rd percentile among running backs with 3.9 targets.
With a high 8.8% Target Rate (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Kenneth Walker III has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in the NFL.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Kenneth Walker III checks in as one of the leading pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 14.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 75th percentile.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the Chiefs being a 6-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 52.9% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and traits of each team, the projections expect this game (with an average of 26.10 seconds per play) will boast the 4th-fastest tempo on the slate this week.
When talking about air yards, Kenneth Walker III ranks in the paltry 10th percentile among running backs since the start of last season, totaling just -3.0 per game.
Kenneth Walker III's 52.4% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 91.5% rate.