Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
Kenneth Walker has been on the field for 58.3% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, ranking in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Kenneth Walker's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Completion% jumping from 77.5% to 100.0%.
Kenneth Walker's pass-catching efficiency has improved this season, accumulating 8.72 yards-per-target compared to a measly 4.69 rate last season.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
As it relates to air yards, Kenneth Walker ranks in just the 2nd percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging just -4.0 per game.
Kenneth Walker has been among the worst running backs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 3rd percentile.
The Giants defense has yielded the 2nd-fewest receiving yards per game in football (just 24.0) to running backs since the start of last season.