Kenneth Walker III Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Kenneth Walker III

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Walker III

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Walker III Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 44.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to defending the run.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The New York Giants have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.4 plays per game.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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