Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders · Week 11, 2024

Updated Nov 15, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Eagles, who are favored by 4 points.
The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Kenneth Gainwell has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 24.5% of snaps compared to 40.5% last year.
This year, the deficient Commanders run defense has given up a massive 140.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 6th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 29.04 seconds per play.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Washington's group of LBs has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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