Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Eagles are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are expected by our trusted projection set to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
The Philadelphia Eagles have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 67.2 plays per game.
Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being projected in this game) typically correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased run volume.
When it comes to executing run-blocking assignments (and the ramifications it has on all ground game metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles profiles as the 4th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect Kenneth Gainwell to be much less involved in his team's running game in this contest (11.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.1% in games he has played).
Kenneth Gainwell's 3.7 adjusted yards per carry this year represents a an impressive drop-off in his running proficiency over last year's 4.9 figure.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Miami's unit has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in the league.

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