Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 49.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
Opposing squads have run for the 5th-most yards in football (139 per game) against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.
The Detroit Lions defensive ends grade out as the worst DE corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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