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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 4

Philadelphia Eagles vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+422/-940).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -901 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -940.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-most run-centric offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 45.3% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 135.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.

Kenneth Gainwell has run for 0.30 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest marks in the league among RBs (77th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Philadelphia Eagles have utilized motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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