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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

Kenneth Gainwell Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+409/-886).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -811 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -886.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 47.9% red zone run rate.

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the 5th-most TDs in the league (1.12 per game) against the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season.

The Detroit Lions defensive ends grade out as the worst DE corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have faced a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Philadelphia Eagles have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.1% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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