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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 1.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson now calling the plays.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Kenneth Gainwell has been much more involved in his team's offense this season, playing on 41.1% of snaps vs just 28.2% last season.
  • This year, the daunting Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded a feeble 75.2% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 3rd-lowest rate in football.

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