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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.1 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties grade out as the worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

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