Kenneth Gainwell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to run 66.5 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The 5th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (a staggering 61.3 per game on average).
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Eagles grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 33.9 per game) this year.
Kenneth Gainwell has been a more important option in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for 39.7% of snaps vs just 28.2% last year.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the 9th-best in the league.

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