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Kenneth Gainwell

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Eagles as the 7th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 27.63 seconds per play.

As it relates to air yards, Kenneth Gainwell grades out in the lofty 87th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, accumulating a monstrous 3.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

The Eagles O-line profiles as the best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Washington's unit has been terrible since the start of last season, projecting as the 6th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

The Eagles are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

Kenneth Gainwell's pass-catching efficiency has diminished this year, totaling just 4.04 yards-per-target vs a 5.75 figure last year.

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