Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
As it relates to air yards, Kenneth Gainwell ranks in the lofty 97th percentile among running backs this year, accruing a remarkable 5.0 per game. (as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Kenneth Gainwell's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 82.1% to 85.8%.
This year, the poor Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed a massive 42.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing RBs: the most in the league.

Favors Under

A passing game script is indicated by the Eagles being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.45 seconds per play.
Kenneth Gainwell has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, staying on the field for 41.1% of snaps compared to just 28.2% last season.
Kenneth Gainwell's 4.9 adjusted yards per target this year represents a substantial diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 5.7 rate.