Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
Kenneth Gainwell has notched a colossal 6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 93rd percentile among running backs.
Kenneth Gainwell's 18.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 88th percentile for running backs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Kenneth Gainwell has been among the worst possession receivers in the league among running backs, hauling in a mere 71.8% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 8th percentile.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has conceded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (75.1%) versus RBs since the start of last season (75.1%).