Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Kenneth Gainwell

NFL · Player Props

Kenneth Gainwell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Kenneth Gainwell Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Kenneth Gainwell has accumulated a whopping 6.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 94th percentile among running backs.
Kenneth Gainwell's 17.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for running backs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Kenneth Gainwell has been among the best pass-game running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 19.0 yards per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 5.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in football.
The Detroit Lions defense has yielded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 31.0) vs. RBs since the start of last season.

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