Kendrick Bourne Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+590/-614).
Key Factors
Favors Over
At a -12.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are massive underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 66.8% of their downs: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.3% red zone pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to have 130.3 offensive plays called: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Cardinals this year (a staggering 62.4 per game on average).
Favors Under
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
After averaging 35.0 air yards per game last year, Kendrick Bourne has been a disappointment this year, currently boasting 25.0 per game.
Kendrick Bourne grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the league versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year (63.2% Adjusted Completion%).
The Rams cornerbacks grade out as the best group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.