Kendrick Bourne Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Kendrick Bourne

NFL · Player Props

Kendrick Bourne

WR · New England Patriots

Receptions

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Kendrick Bourne Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Kendrick Bourne's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 74.8% to 53.2%.
The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (63.1%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (63.1%).
The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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