Kendre Miller Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Kendre Miller

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 5, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Kendre Miller Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+105/-126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.0 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
Kendre Miller has been one of the top RBs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a stellar 3.40 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

The model projects the New Orleans Saints as the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 40.4% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Falcons safeties profile as the 9th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to run defense.