Kendre Miller Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Kendre Miller

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 11:48 AM EST

Analysis

Kendre Miller Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.
New Orleans's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and rushing stats decreased) due to playing the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We figure to be able to expect some correction with windier conditions in this game.
With a fantastic rate of 3.60 yards after contact (91st percentile), Kendre Miller has been as one of the tenacious running backs in the league last year.
The Ravens defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league last year with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run on 39.4% of their downs: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The projections expect Kendre Miller to be a much smaller piece of his team's ground game in this week's game (16.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (26.0% in games he has played).
Since the start of last season, the daunting Baltimore Ravens run defense has conceded a measly 106.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 8th-fewest in football.