Kendre Miller Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Kendre Miller

NFL · Player Props

Kendre Miller

RB · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 6, 2026 3:38 PM EST

Analysis

Kendre Miller Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to pass on 59.7% of their opportunities: the 9th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.6 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Saints have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 60.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Browns safeties project as the 6th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Saints are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
Kendre Miller comes in as one of the least efficient receivers in football when it comes to running backs, averaging a lowly 3.71 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 20th percentile.
The Cleveland Browns defense has conceded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 20.0) to running backs this year.
This year, the fierce Browns defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a mere 4.2 yards.

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