Kendall Hinton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kendall Hinton

NFL · Player Props

Kendall Hinton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kendall Hinton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.08 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Kendall Hinton to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game this week (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.7% in games he has played).
Kendall Hinton has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching an impressive 80.3% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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