Kendall Hinton Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kendall Hinton

NFL · Player Props

Kendall Hinton

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Kendall Hinton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.7% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense as the 6th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 27.08 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Kendall Hinton to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game this week (14.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.7% in games he has played).
Kendall Hinton has compiled significantly more air yards this year (22.0 per game) than he did last year (11.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.04 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in football.
The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a measly 3.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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