Keenan Allen Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Keenan Allen

NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Touchdowns

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 21, 2026 9:12 PM EST

Analysis

Keenan Allen Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+376/-900).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 61.6% of their opportunities: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a colossal 62.2 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Keenan Allen has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.0% this year, which places him in the 80th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 49.0% red zone run rate.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 124.2 offensive plays run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 32.6 per game) this year.
Keenan Allen's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 68.2% to 63.2%.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest clip in football against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year (55.4% Adjusted Completion%).

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