Keenan Allen Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Keenan Allen

NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Touchdowns

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Keenan Allen Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+488/-609).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 64.6 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
Keenan Allen has been an integral part of his team's offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 23.1% this year, which puts him in the 86th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
As it relates to air yards, Keenan Allen ranks in the towering 75th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 57.0 per game.
Keenan Allen's 49.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 80th percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

The model projects the Colts to be the 6th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 47.7% red zone run rate.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: fewest in football.
The Steelers defense has surrendered the 5th-fewest receiving touchdowns in football to wideouts: 0.50 per game this year.

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