Keenan Allen Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Keenan Allen

NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 12:57 PM EST

Analysis

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
Our trusted projections expect Keenan Allen to total 7.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Keenan Allen has been a big part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 21.5% this year, which puts him in the 81st percentile among wideouts.
Keenan Allen's 2.56 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a noteable progression in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 0.0% figure.
This year, the feeble Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up a colossal 81.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the largest rate in football.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
Keenan Allen has accumulated far fewer air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (60.0 per game).

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