Keenan Allen Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Keenan Allen

NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-102/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 64.6 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
In this week's contest, Keenan Allen is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 78th percentile among wide receivers with 6.6 targets.
Keenan Allen has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 22.4% since the start of last season, which places him in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.
As it relates to air yards, Keenan Allen ranks in the towering 75th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 57.0 per game.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: fewest in football.
Keenan Allen's 5.4 adjusted yards per target this season signifies a remarkable decline in his pass-catching talent over last season's 7.0 figure.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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