Keenan Allen Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-112/+103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread indicates a throwing game script for the Colts, who are -6-point underdogs.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Colts to pass on 0.0% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The projections expect Keenan Allen to accumulate 6.3 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Keenan Allen has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 22.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
When talking about air yards, Keenan Allen grades out in the towering 75th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, averaging a superb 57.0 per game.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by our trusted projection set to run 64.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-most among all teams this week.
The Colts have run the 8th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.3 plays per game.
The Colts have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.1 per game) since the start of last season.
With a subpar 6.9 adjusted yards per target (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Keenan Allen ranks as one of the worst WRs in the game in football.