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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+123/-164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Keenan Allen has been a key part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 23.6% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Keenan Allen has posted a whopping 82.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 5th-least TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 0.71 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.

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