Keelan Cole Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Keelan Cole

NFL · Player Props

Keelan Cole

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Keelan Cole Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has allowed their QB 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The Denver Broncos pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-slowest in the league since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
Keelan Cole has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, catching just 56.3% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 8th percentile among wide receivers
The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.8%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.8%).
The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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