Keaton Mitchell Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Keaton Mitchell

NFL · Player Props

Keaton Mitchell

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Touchdowns

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:37 PM EST

Analysis

Keaton Mitchell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+620/-660).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates an extreme throwing game script for the Chargers, who are enormous -7.5-point underdogs.
This year, the stout Chiefs run defense has allowed a measly 0.75 TDs on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 9th-smallest rate in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 55.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
With a 51.5% rate of running the ball near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league in these cases has been the Chargers.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Chargers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 8th-lowest number on the slate this week.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Chargers profiles as the worst in the NFL this year.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest clip in the NFL vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year (67.9% Adjusted Completion%).

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