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Keaton Mitchell

Keaton Mitchell Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Keaton Mitchell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the projection model to call 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Los Angeles defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

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