KaVontae Turpin Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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KaVontae Turpin

NFL · Player Props

KaVontae Turpin

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

KaVontae Turpin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+809/-900).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (59.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cowboys.
The projections expect the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
This year, the anemic Packers pass defense has given up a staggering 70.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-largest rate in the league.

Favors Under

KaVontae Turpin, who has earned 7.1% of his team's carries near the goal line this year (98th percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Cowboys red zone rushing attack.
After totaling 23.0 air yards per game last year, KaVontae Turpin has undergone a big decline this year, currently boasting 8.0 per game.
KaVontae Turpin's 6.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 15.6.
With a very bad rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), KaVontae Turpin rates among the worst receiving TD-scorers in football among wideouts this year.
With a remarkable ratio of 0.25 rushing touchdowns per game (98th percentile), KaVontae Turpin ranks as one of the best rushing touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to wide receivers and tight ends this year.

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