KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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KaVontae Turpin

NFL · Player Props

KaVontae Turpin

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The projections expect the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
This year, the anemic Packers pass defense has given up a staggering 70.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-largest rate in the league.
This year, the feeble Green Bay Packers defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a massive 4.71 YAC.

Favors Under

After totaling 23.0 air yards per game last year, KaVontae Turpin has undergone a big decline this year, currently boasting 8.0 per game.
KaVontae Turpin's 6.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 15.6.
KaVontae Turpin ranks as one of the bottom wide receivers in the league this year, averaging a lowly 11.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 15th percentile when it comes to WRs.
The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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