KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

KaVontae Turpin

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 8, 2026 9:12 PM EST

Analysis

KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a huge 9-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 5th-most sluggish paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.28 seconds per play.
After accumulating 23.0 air yards per game last season, KaVontae Turpin has posted significant losses this season, now boasting 4.0 per game.
KaVontae Turpin's 4.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 15.6.
This year, the formidable Buccaneers defense has allowed a meager 106.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-fewest in football.