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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+299/-529).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +326 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +299.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 47.9% red zone run rate.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • Kareem Hunt has rushed for 0.62 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest figures in football among RBs (95th percentile).
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 29th-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season with their run defense.
  • The Cleveland Browns have elected to go for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
  • The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box versus opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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