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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

Kareem Hunt Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the most pass-focused team in football (69.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.

The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically prompt worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

The Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.9%) to running backs this year (72.9%).

The Jaguars linebackers profile as the 2nd-best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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