Kareem Hunt Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-215).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -215.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to have 132.9 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
The Cleveland Browns have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 66.7 plays per game.
When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Kareem Hunt has gone out for fewer passes this season (21.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (41.2%).
Kareem Hunt's 0.8 adjusted receptions per game this year signifies a remarkable diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 2.1 figure.
Kareem Hunt's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 86.3% to 64.6%.
This year, the imposing Steelers defense has allowed a puny 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the smallest rate in the NFL.

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