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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Kareem Hunt Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.2% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.

The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in football. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Cleveland Browns have gone for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in the league), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 30.32 seconds per snap.

The Los Angeles Chargers defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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