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Kalif Raymond

Kalif Raymond Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Kalif Raymond Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+122/-153).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Kalif Raymond to be much more involved in his offense's pass game this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.9% in games he has played).

Kalif Raymond's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% rising from 67.5% to 72.5%.

The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.6%) versus WRs this year (70.6%).

The Chicago Bears cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst group of CBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.

The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Detroit Lions offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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