Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Kalif Raymond

NFL · Player Props

Kalif Raymond

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Kalif Raymond Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
Kalif Raymond's possession skills have improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 67.5% to 77.8%.
Kalif Raymond's receiving efficiency has gotten better this year, accumulating 9.66 yards-per-target vs a mere 7.60 rate last year.
Kalif Raymond's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten better this year, compiling 5.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 4.04 mark last year.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the league (69.7%) vs. wideouts this year (69.7%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
Kalif Raymond has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (52.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (77.3%).
Kalif Raymond has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (45.0 per game).
The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

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